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In the rise of the new energy army, wind power has become a pioneer.
It is reported that the long-awaited "Emerging Energy Industry Development Plan" is about to be announced. It is planned to increase investment by 5 trillion yuan in the decade from 2011 to 2020, and increase the annual output value by 1.5 trillion yuan.
In the face of a new round of investment feast, wind power, the most mature technology and market in renewable energy, will benefit the most from a new round of investment.
Trillion investment feast
“More than one trillion yuan.†Jiang Qian, chief researcher of CIC's energy industry, calculated the account for the reporter. In order to achieve the goal of non-fossil energy ratio reaching 5% by 2020, the installed capacity of wind power should reach 150 million kilowatts. And the construction of the 150 million kilowatt wind farm needs to build more than 10 million kilowatts per year, and the total investment will be about 1.2 trillion yuan.
"The huge demand for domestic wind power development is enough to promote the establishment of a huge wind power industry in China." Yang Yuansheng, chief engineer of Longyuan Power, once said that promoting the development of domestic wind power industry for wind power technology research, wind farm development, wind power equipment manufacturing and For the development of power grids and other related industries, it is an unprecedented development opportunity. We should complete the scientific research, equipment development and wind farm construction, operation and management practices based on domestic demand, so as to enter the international market for future technology. And strategic reserves.
In this round of investment feast, the wind power machine bears the brunt. Jiang Qian introduced that in the first half of this year, the domestic wind power infrastructure construction completed an investment of 28.5 billion yuan, and the newly added wind power production capacity was 3.3 million kilowatts, an increase of 48% and 66% respectively compared with the same period of last year. “The development of domestic wind farms due to high cost, imperfect market, low profit and even loss has made wind power operators highly concentrated, mainly central and local state-owned power generation enterprises and state-owned energy enterprises, private enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises. Less. In contrast, wind turbines have lower barriers and more profit margins, which is more favored by various capitals."
Accelerated industrial integration
Regardless of whether the wind power grid problem has been solved, the output value of the equipment of 75 million yuan driven by the wind power installed capacity of 150 million kilowatts is promising for the wind power equipment manufacturers in China.
It is understood that thanks to the "Renewable Energy Medium- and Long-Term Development Plan" promulgated in 2007, the domestic wind power machine manufacturing has grown rapidly from more than 40 in 2007 to more than 80 today, and has formed a global industry. Ten Huarui Wind Power Technology Co., Ltd., Xinjiang Jinfeng Technology Co., Ltd. and Dongfang Electric Group Co., Ltd. are the three leading enterprises.
According to the statistics of China Wind Energy Association, in 2009, Huarui Wind Power, Goldwind Technology and Dongfang Steam Turbine in the first echelon of domestic wind power equipment continued to maintain the position of “three tops†in the market. The total installed capacity of three enterprises totaled 8.252 million kilowatts, accounting for the whole country. 59.7% of the new market.
“The domestic wind turbine manufacturing enterprises have reached more than 80, and the production capacity of core technology independent intellectual property rights is not high. Therefore, enterprises with high product quality and innovative competitiveness will lead the future development direction of the wind power industry.†Guodian Wind Power Equipment Technology Research Qin Ming, deputy director of the institute, believes that the domestic wind turbine equipment manufacturing market is extremely overheated, and the number of wind power equipment enterprises has increased sharply, making China's wind power industry into a low-end overproduction, and industry integration is imminent.
With the release of the “Qualification Standards for Wind Power Equipment Manufacturing Industry (Draft for Comment)†(hereinafter referred to as the “Opinion Draftâ€) in the first half of this year, the integration curtain has been opened. According to this opinion draft, wind turbine manufacturers must have the production conditions and production facilities necessary for the production of 2.5 MW and above with a stand-alone capacity of over 1 million kW. In Jiang Qian’s view, the government’s determination to raise the threshold and eliminate backward production capacity in the whole machine industry is evident. "In the short term, the whole industry will certainly experience a pain, promote the reshuffle of the industry and the survival of the fittest, and it is a great opportunity for domestic leading enterprises to continue to expand their market share."
“In fact, the entry threshold for wind turbine manufacturers in the opinion draft is higher than the policy boundary and entry threshold set by most commercial banks' credit policies.†According to relevant persons of China Merchants Bank, “this fully reflects The relevant national departments are determined to accelerate the integration of wind power equipment manufacturing industry and the entire wind power industry and promote the healthy development of China's wind power industry. Under this background, a new round of survival of the fittest and mergers and acquisitions will be inevitable, and at the same time, it will not provide much for commercial banks. The opportunity for integration."
Difficulties to be solved
It is developing very fast and there are many problems.
"The main contradiction at present is the supporting conditions for the rapid development of wind power and the relative development lag, especially the contradiction of the intervention conditions of the power grid. The lagging supporting conditions have formed serious constraints on wind power. Solving these constraints and bottlenecks is the key to the rapid development of wind power in China. Yang Xiaosheng said that under the rapid development of wind power, the waste and risk caused by Longyuan Company have deep experience in the development of wind power.
According to statistics from the website of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, in 2009, China's wind power grid-connected total capacity was 16.13 million kilowatts, and the cumulative installed capacity was 26.01 million kilowatts. According to statistics, about 30% of the wind turbines that have been hoisted in China by the end of 2008 are in an idling state. As of 2009, about 25% of the units were idling.
If the electricity is not the net, the benefits will not be reflected. At the same time, even if wind power can be connected to the grid, wind power developers have to bear the risk of not getting enough. "Now the domestic wind power price is still low, this will be a big problem in the future, resulting in low profits, not enough to attract investment, and the investment is not sustainable." A large domestic power company official told reporters that there is no company now. The money earned by own power generation is maintaining its own development. The return on investment of wind farms is 8%~10%, and the interest of banks accounts for more than 7%. "Only state-owned assets have the confidence to do this, Guodian, State-owned enterprises such as Datang account for more than 90% of the market share of wind power, while foreign and private capital are almost not involved."
Cracking the wind power grid connection, the government authorities have begun to exert their strength.
It is understood that in order to strengthen the coordinated development of wind power development and power grid, the National Energy Administration is carrying out wind power development planning and market elimination in 11 provinces in North China, Northwest China and Northeast China. Research work on nano and transmission planning. "Now it is necessary to find out what problems exist in the current development of domestic wind power, reach a unified understanding, and then study the solutions to these problems." Shi Lishan, deputy director of the New Energy Department of the National Energy Administration said.
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The new energy plan "wind" re-emerges: 10 trillion yuan
In 2009, China's accumulated wind power installed capacity reached 26.01 million kilowatts, which jumped to the second place in the world. The newly added wind power installed capacity was 13.8 million kilowatts, ranking first in the world. In 2010, what kind of "myth" will be created by the rapid development of wind power? If the "Emerging Energy Industry Development Plan" is launched during the year, will 2010 become a watershed in China's wind power development?