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Prospect of China's aluminum profile production and operation in 2011
2011 is the first year of China's "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period. Since the reform and opening up to 30 years, China's aluminum profile industry has been booming. The product structure has always been dominated by construction materials. With the continuous improvement of China's industrial level and scale, the output of industrial materials has also increased year by year. In the automobile manufacturing, rail transit, electric power, machinery and equipment manufacturing, home appliances and other industries, the demand for aluminum profiles has increased rapidly, and new products, new processes, and new-purpose aluminum profiles have emerged, which has promoted technological progress and sustained and healthy development of the industry. In the past ten years, it has increased from 1.72 million tons in 2001 to 10 million tons in 2010, with a compound growth rate of 20%. The total output and total consumption of aluminum profiles ranks first in the world. In 2010, the export of aluminum profiles was 700,000 tons. During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, China's exports will maintain a steady development trend. The new characteristics of China's aluminum profile industry during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period: First, China's aluminum extrusion industry is still in the late stage of large-scale extensional growth, from the scale of projects under construction, especially in 2011-2013, aluminum extrusion There is still no small increase in production capacity. This is because the homogenization of current products has caused fierce competition in the market. In order to compete in the market with low-cost means, enterprises often adopt large-scale production, with the aim of diluting costs. For this reason, enterprises have to increase equipment and increase production capacity. This kind of non-differentiated means of competition will not be too effective for the aluminum extrusion industry at maturity. Therefore, this scale-up and extension trend should reflect the weakening trend in the later period of the 12th Five-Year Plan. . Second, the structure of aluminum extrusion products will be significantly adjusted. This adjustment is reflected in the adjustment between the types of aluminum profiles used in construction, the adjustment between architectural aluminum profiles and industrial aluminium profiles. Instead, it will be a broken bridge insulation and energy-saving building aluminum profiles. The adjustment between the aluminum profiles for construction and the aluminum profiles for industrial use is an inevitable trend. Although during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the country still has to continue to develop the western region, it still needs to speed up urban construction, but the aluminum profile incremental market is much smaller than the previous national infrastructure construction demand market represented by houses. In this respect, the construction of aluminum profiles is in an absolute oversupply situation. At present, more than 70% of the aluminum extrusion projects under construction are industrial aluminum profiles, and the aluminum alloy projects under construction for the listed companies are close to 100%. The practice of the aluminum extrusion industry is sufficient to illustrate aluminum extrusion. The trend of pressure product structure adjustment. Third, in terms of business methods, aluminum extrusion enterprises have shifted from extensional to intrinsic value-added. Products should be developed towards deep processing extension and industrial profile processing. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, it is expected that there will be hot markets for aluminum profiles: First, the bridge construction, energy-saving aluminum profiles and photoelectric curtain wall aluminum profiles market; second, solar energy, wind energy and nuclear energy for renewable new energy industries. Aluminum extrusion market; Third, the aluminum extrusion profile market for transportation vehicle manufacturing; Fourth, the aluminum extrusion profile market for power grid construction. In the field of architectural profiles. Architectural profiles have always been closely related to the construction industry and the urbanization process. With the economic development, by 2009, China's urban population has reached 622 million people, and the urbanization rate has increased to 46.6%. It is estimated that by 2015, China's urbanization level will exceed 50%. In the field of industrial materials. Domestically, the proportion of architectural profiles is relatively high, while foreign countries have a higher proportion of industrial profiles. Industrial profiles are often technically difficult and have high added value. From the application field, the construction industry is still the main field of aluminum profile applications, and consumption has increased year by year. The consumption of aluminum profiles in China is only 32% in the world. With the development of economy and industrial technology, aluminum profiles have great potential for consumption in the industrial sector. It is estimated that the proportion of industrial aluminum profiles in 2015 will reach 45-50%. According to the relevant plans of the Chinese government, the proportion of industrial aluminum profiles in total aluminum consumption will be close to 70% in the next 10 years. In the automotive aluminum profile. According to the statistics of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, China's automobile production and sales volume is expected to exceed 17 million units in 2010, reaching the peak level of the annual output of the global automotive industry. The growth of automobile production and sales has a positive effect on the aluminum processing products market. The average consumption of aluminum processing products per vehicle is 100 kilograms. In 2009, the consumption of aluminum processing products exceeded 1.3 million tons. Therefore, with the rapid development of China's automobile manufacturing industry and the increase in the amount of aluminum used in automobiles, it will surely provide a broad market for the aluminum processing industry including aluminum profiles. In terms of aluminum profiles for trains and urban rail transit. On November 22, 2009, the Ministry of Railways officially announced the latest adjustment plan for the Medium and Long-Term Railway Network Plan. The total scale of China's railway construction investment will exceed 5 trillion yuan in 12 years, and the railway will add more than 40,000 kilometers of operating mileage. By 2020, China's railway speed of more than 250 kilometers per hour will reach 16,000 kilometers. According to the plan, the train speed of the passenger dedicated line will reach more than 200 kilometers per hour. Due to its light weight, tightness and high corrosion resistance, the aluminum body has an absolute advantage in high-speed trains with a speed of over 200 km per hour. The average body aluminum of each car is about 10 tons, of which more than 90% are large-section hollow aluminum profiles. In the rail transit industry, according to the latest approvals and plans of the country, the current metro construction plans for 28 megacities in China have been approved. In 2010, China will build 480 subways, and the total mileage will reach 6,100 kilometers in 2020. Calculated on the basis of 10 cars per kilometer, each car requires an average of 3 tons of aluminum profiles. This alone will increase the demand for aluminum profiles of over 150,000 tons. In addition, due to the lightweight nature of aluminum alloys, it is also the most used raw material in the aerospace industry. With the development and production of China's manned space flight and large aircraft and regional aircraft, the amount of aluminum used in the aerospace industry will also continue to grow. In the consumer durables industry. The demand for aluminum products in the field of durable consumer goods is mainly concentrated in the home appliance industry. In recent years, the increasing amount of aluminum used in home appliances has become a trend. In 2006-2009, the demand for aluminum in the domestic appliance industry grew at an average annual rate of 35%. In terms of product trends, aluminum profiles are currently developing in the direction of large sections, thin wall thickness, high dimensional accuracy, complex sections and delicate appearance. In order to produce these products, many large extruders are also being put into use. For example, aluminum profiles for high-speed trains, CRH2, CRH3, and CRH5 are all aluminum alloy profiles. The mechanical properties and cross-section of the large-section hollow aluminum alloy extruded body have strict requirements and can be extruded into various complex large-section materials. Domestic manufacturers generally use more than 600 tons of extruders for production. With the sustained, rapid and healthy development of China's national economy, the demand for aluminum profiles will become larger and larger, and the equipment and technology level will be more and more advanced. It is believed that China's aluminum profile products will have more room for development. With the implementation of the “Non-ferrous Metals Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Planâ€, high value-added products and technological innovation will become increasingly important. With the continuous integration of the industrial chain, China's aluminum profile industry will develop more rapidly and with high quality.